US President Donald Trump's decision to withdraw from the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will have little impact outside of the country, according to experts.
Trump's move is part of his broader assault on climate action, which has been met with resistance from other nations. The US withdrawal from the Paris agreement, a parent treaty to the UNFCCC, was one of Trump's first acts in office. However, this decision will not change the scientific reality of rising temperatures, sea levels, and greenhouse gas emissions.
The economic benefits of low-carbon energy are already clear, with global investment in clean energy outstripping fossil fuels by two to one. Renewable energy has grown 15% last year, accounting for more than 90% of new power generation capacity. Electric vehicles now account for about a fifth of new cars sold around the world.
China is likely to continue its low-carbon economy, with Li Shuo, director of the China Climate Hub at the Asia Society Policy Institute, stating that commercial dynamism between China and the global south will provide a counter to Trump's policies. Nicholas Stern, an economist, agrees that the economics of the transition are increasingly attractive.
However, Trump's actions may unsettle some investors on the margins. The US withdrawal from the IPCC will mean losing a seat at climate talks, and withdrawing from the UNFCCC means ceasing participation in or funding to those entities to the extent permitted by law.
The impact of Trump's decision will be felt globally, with the effects of climate change already being felt across the world. Wildfires, droughts, floods, and extreme weather events are becoming more frequent, and homes in some areas are becoming uninsurable.
Even for Trump himself, the effects of climate change will not be far away. Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, a former vice-chair of the IPCC, has warned that Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence is located in one of the most vulnerable areas to sea level rise due to global warming.
Ultimately, Trump's decision to withdraw from the UNFCCC and IPCC will have little impact outside of the US. The world is already committed to addressing the climate crisis, and other nations will continue to push for climate justice and a low-carbon future.
Trump's move is part of his broader assault on climate action, which has been met with resistance from other nations. The US withdrawal from the Paris agreement, a parent treaty to the UNFCCC, was one of Trump's first acts in office. However, this decision will not change the scientific reality of rising temperatures, sea levels, and greenhouse gas emissions.
The economic benefits of low-carbon energy are already clear, with global investment in clean energy outstripping fossil fuels by two to one. Renewable energy has grown 15% last year, accounting for more than 90% of new power generation capacity. Electric vehicles now account for about a fifth of new cars sold around the world.
China is likely to continue its low-carbon economy, with Li Shuo, director of the China Climate Hub at the Asia Society Policy Institute, stating that commercial dynamism between China and the global south will provide a counter to Trump's policies. Nicholas Stern, an economist, agrees that the economics of the transition are increasingly attractive.
However, Trump's actions may unsettle some investors on the margins. The US withdrawal from the IPCC will mean losing a seat at climate talks, and withdrawing from the UNFCCC means ceasing participation in or funding to those entities to the extent permitted by law.
The impact of Trump's decision will be felt globally, with the effects of climate change already being felt across the world. Wildfires, droughts, floods, and extreme weather events are becoming more frequent, and homes in some areas are becoming uninsurable.
Even for Trump himself, the effects of climate change will not be far away. Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, a former vice-chair of the IPCC, has warned that Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence is located in one of the most vulnerable areas to sea level rise due to global warming.
Ultimately, Trump's decision to withdraw from the UNFCCC and IPCC will have little impact outside of the US. The world is already committed to addressing the climate crisis, and other nations will continue to push for climate justice and a low-carbon future.