UK's Productivity Puzzle Deepens as Brexit Misfires
Brexit continues to wreak havoc on the UK economy, with its impact felt most acutely in the financial sector. The City of London, once a hub of productivity growth, is now struggling to stay competitive with its EU counterparts.
In recent years, numerous major banks and financial institutions have relocated their operations from London to Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan, and Paris. This exodus has resulted in significant losses for the UK economy, with over £1 trillion moved between these cities by the 440 other companies that followed suit.
Experts point to Brexit as a primary cause of this productivity slump, citing the impact on sectors with EU ties and the resulting uncertainty for businesses. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has downgraded its forecasts for trend productivity growth, now predicting a 0.9% increase by the end of the decade - a significant downgrade from previous estimates.
The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, will face scrutiny over her plans to tackle this issue. While she is expected to suggest that Labour's policies can turn the tide, blaming Brexit may be seen as a cop-out given the party's refusal to rejoin the EU single market or customs union.
In contrast, a more pragmatic approach might involve reducing City red tape and boosting competitiveness through initiatives such as the industrial strategy. This could include tax reform measures to tackle the government's budget shortfall.
For those who have witnessed the exodus firsthand, it is clear that Brexit has had a profound impact on London's ability to drive productivity higher. As one former Morgan Stanley executive noted, "The money machine...is misfiring." The question now remains whether the chancellor can find a way to reboot the City and restore its former glory.
				
			Brexit continues to wreak havoc on the UK economy, with its impact felt most acutely in the financial sector. The City of London, once a hub of productivity growth, is now struggling to stay competitive with its EU counterparts.
In recent years, numerous major banks and financial institutions have relocated their operations from London to Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan, and Paris. This exodus has resulted in significant losses for the UK economy, with over £1 trillion moved between these cities by the 440 other companies that followed suit.
Experts point to Brexit as a primary cause of this productivity slump, citing the impact on sectors with EU ties and the resulting uncertainty for businesses. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has downgraded its forecasts for trend productivity growth, now predicting a 0.9% increase by the end of the decade - a significant downgrade from previous estimates.
The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, will face scrutiny over her plans to tackle this issue. While she is expected to suggest that Labour's policies can turn the tide, blaming Brexit may be seen as a cop-out given the party's refusal to rejoin the EU single market or customs union.
In contrast, a more pragmatic approach might involve reducing City red tape and boosting competitiveness through initiatives such as the industrial strategy. This could include tax reform measures to tackle the government's budget shortfall.
For those who have witnessed the exodus firsthand, it is clear that Brexit has had a profound impact on London's ability to drive productivity higher. As one former Morgan Stanley executive noted, "The money machine...is misfiring." The question now remains whether the chancellor can find a way to reboot the City and restore its former glory.