RBA Governor Leaves Australians Stretched on Interest Rates
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate target steady at 3.6% in a move that has little to no surprise, given the blistering pace of inflation. The latest forecast from the RBA paints a grim picture for the next 18 months, with higher inflation setting the stage for another year of households struggling to keep up with the cost of living.
In a press conference after the monetary policy board meeting, Governor Michele Bullock sidestepped any concrete answers on future interest rate cuts, opting instead for the familiar sports cliche "meeting by meeting." For homeowners who have been stretched by rising mortgage payments, this lack of clarity is little comfort.
The RBA now expects inflation to linger above its 2-3% target range until at least 2027, with consumer price growth expected to reach 3.7% by mid-next year. This means that wages will struggle to keep pace with prices, leading to another difficult year for families trying to make ends meet.
The Albanese government's plans to extend power price relief beyond the current end-of-year deadline may provide some temporary reprieve, but it only serves to further muddy the waters when it comes to inflation. The RBA's forecast also suggests that even lukewarm economic growth might be too little to stem the tide of inflation.
In a surprising twist, the RBA predicts that unemployment will remain steady at around 4.4% over the next year, suggesting that the job market may not provide much respite for struggling households. Governor Bullock made it clear that the board is aiming for 2.5% inflation, with "just below three" being a non-starter.
The RBA's forecast also assumes another rate cut in 2026, but Governor Bullock warned against placing too much store in this prediction. When asked about the possibility of a future interest rate hike, she remained characteristically cryptic, saying that "anything's possible."
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate target steady at 3.6% in a move that has little to no surprise, given the blistering pace of inflation. The latest forecast from the RBA paints a grim picture for the next 18 months, with higher inflation setting the stage for another year of households struggling to keep up with the cost of living.
In a press conference after the monetary policy board meeting, Governor Michele Bullock sidestepped any concrete answers on future interest rate cuts, opting instead for the familiar sports cliche "meeting by meeting." For homeowners who have been stretched by rising mortgage payments, this lack of clarity is little comfort.
The RBA now expects inflation to linger above its 2-3% target range until at least 2027, with consumer price growth expected to reach 3.7% by mid-next year. This means that wages will struggle to keep pace with prices, leading to another difficult year for families trying to make ends meet.
The Albanese government's plans to extend power price relief beyond the current end-of-year deadline may provide some temporary reprieve, but it only serves to further muddy the waters when it comes to inflation. The RBA's forecast also suggests that even lukewarm economic growth might be too little to stem the tide of inflation.
In a surprising twist, the RBA predicts that unemployment will remain steady at around 4.4% over the next year, suggesting that the job market may not provide much respite for struggling households. Governor Bullock made it clear that the board is aiming for 2.5% inflation, with "just below three" being a non-starter.
The RBA's forecast also assumes another rate cut in 2026, but Governor Bullock warned against placing too much store in this prediction. When asked about the possibility of a future interest rate hike, she remained characteristically cryptic, saying that "anything's possible."